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Throwing Water on a GREECE Fire – An Explosive Action
- February 22, 2012
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Banking, Economy, Government, Monetary Policy, News, Public Sector
No CommentsIt is common knowledge that if grease gets hot enough (above 600 degrees Fahrenheit,) it will catch fire. It is also common knowledge that such a fire is best extinguished by taking measures to smother the flames, and NEVER to throw water on such a fire. If such a mistake is made, the result is
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BRICS Thrown at the U.S. House of Cards May Cause Things to Come Tumbling Down
- April 18, 2011
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Commodities, Economy, Government, Inflation, Monetary Policy, News
Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, each representing large and populous developing countries with growing economies, have formed a consortium known by the acronym BRICS. They met four days ago to call for an end of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency. These emerging economies are seen as the engine for global
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A Measure of Meal plus Oil No Longer Makes a Full Loaf of Bread
- March 3, 2011
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Commodities, Economy, Food, Inflation, Monetary Policy, News, Oil & Gas
In February, reports of the Fed claim that QEII had been successful were floated, though not taken seriously. The reason is that food/commodity prices, especially grains, are the highest that they have been in twenty years. This has been exasperated with the speculator-driven rise in oil prices due to the unrest in Libya with the
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Debt Addiction Intervention Needed
- November 26, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Economy, Government, Monetary Policy, News
Earlier this week, Forbes published an article by Shaun Rein, Managing Director of China Market Research Group. As we have done previously, he decries the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing measures, saying (http://www.forbes.com/2010/11/22/ben-bernanke-wrong-quantitative-easing-leadership-managing-rein.html): 1) “Low interest rates and an increased money supply are worthless tools if companies don’t think there are ways to make money. More
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The Fed Says Potato, the Market Says Potahto – Let’s call the Whole Thing Off!
- November 16, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Economy, Government, Monetary Policy, News
The Wall Street Journal reported, today, that investors are selling off U.S. government debt, challenging the Federal Reserve’s efforts to push interest rates lower, and, instead, driving rates, in many cases, to their highest levels in more than three months (See previous blog post: Inflation Nation). The rise in borrowing costs is a most unwelcome
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QEII – No Luxury Liner for the Average Citizen
- November 6, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Economy, Government, Monetary Policy, News
As the country was watching the election results of November 2, 2010, the Federal Reserve was quietly implementing the second monetization of debt, called QEII. This Keynsian-style move of issuing debt and buying it back has some unintended consequences: First, the dollar is devalued. It is estimated that the dollar will be worth 20% less
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Insanity – Fed Considering Options That Are Sure to Fail
- October 15, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Economy, Government, Monetary Policy, News
Albert Einstein is quoted as saying: “Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” The Federal Reserve is expected to initiate a new round of Treasury purchases, thus monetizing more debt to add to the $1.7 trillion in longer-term assets it has already bought. Typically, “if a budget deficit persists
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GE Incandescent Light Bulb Factory to go Dark
- September 9, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Consumer Products, Economy, Environmental Sustainability, News
GE has announced the pending closure of the last major factory making ordinary incandescent light bulbs in the United States. Two hundred jobs will be lost as the operation shifts to “green” light bulbs (compact fluorescent lamps or CFLs) that are to be made in China. China manufactures 85% of the world’s total CFLs. Replacing
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Hindenburg Omen – Strike Two and One to Go
- August 27, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Econometrics, Economy, Government, News, Stock Market
The Hindenburg Omen is an econometrics-based model that has been successful in predicting stock market crashes. The Omen has been behind every market crash since 1987, but significant stock-market declines have followed only 25% of the time. The Hindenburg, of course, was the German passenger airship LZ 129 Hindenburg which caught fire, and was destroyed,
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U. S. Oil Industry is Sinking
- July 19, 2010
- Posted by: Ted Bullen
- Category: Economy, Energy, News, Oil & Gas
Moody’s Analytics has estimated the impact of the Gulf Oil Spill: 17000 jobs lost by year end, due to federal deepwater drilling moratorium. Houston-based Diamond Offshore announced, on July 9, that its Ocean Endeavor drilling rig will leave the Gulf of Mexico and move to Egyptian waters immediately. It has other rigs that may leave
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